United Nations Security Council Backs United States Plan for Gaza

What Happened?

Yesterday, the United Nations Security Council voted in favor of an American resolution that backs President Donald Trump's twenty-point plan for Gaza. Under the terms of the plan, an International Stabilization Force (ISF) would be created, staffed by personnel from several countries that have thus far signaled a willingness to participate.

Thirteen countries voted in favor of the U.S. resolution while none voted against it. Russia and China abstained. According to U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, adopting the resolution represented an ‘important step in the consolidation of the ceasefire’ in Gaza. Hamas rejected the terms of the resolution outright.

Why it Matters

The U.N. vote brings the international community closer to the implementation of a new post-war order in Gaza. Probably the most important aspect of the plan is the ISF. This would include a newly trained and vetted Palestinian police force designed to secure border areas and ensure the process of permanently disarming non-state armed groups like Hamas.

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Disarming Hamas could be the key factor on which the entire post-war order in Gaza hinges. If the militant group is not disarmed, it will likely continue its efforts to reassert control over Gaza, which it is already doing. The deployment of the ISF to Gaza also sets up the likelihood of an armed clash between Hamas and international peacekeepers. The arrival of an armed ISF force in Gaza before Hamas has been disarmed would put two armed groups, both vying for nominal control of Gaza, in close proximity to each other. 

Few of the other provisions of the U.S. plan for Gaza, including rebuilding and governance, stand much chance of success if Hamas retains its weapons and military capabilities. Hamas has been clear they would rather see Gaza destroyed than step aside and let anyone else govern it. There is little doubt Hamas would attack any ISF forces sent to Gaza.

The key question could become whether the ISF would have the ability to win a potential armed conflict with Hamas. That outcome seems doubtful since the ISF would be far less powerful than the Israeli military, which failed even after two years of total warfare to completely destroy Hamas. Hamas has been substantially weakened by its war with Israel, which would give the ISF an early advantage.   

Rather than risk a future battle between the ISF and Hamas, the international community must move quickly to disarm Hamas now while it is still in a weakened condition. 

How it Affects You

Long-term peace in Gaza is unlikely if Hamas retains its ability to assert armed control over the Palestinian people, or even the capacity to carry out attacks on international peacekeepers. The U.S. plan for rebuilding Gaza is an ambitious one, but without adequate security, few of the provisions of that plan are likely to work. 

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