Iranian forces downed a U.S. Apache helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz, and U.S. Central Command confirmed that the attack aircraft had been hit by enemy fire. In response, the U.S. launched an unspecified number of air and missile attacks on Iran, including small islands in the Strait of Hormuz. In response to those attacks, Iran launched ballistic missiles at several neighboring countries, including Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain. 

Both the Trump Administration and the Iranian government threatened to launch additional strikes against each other if negotiations fail to produce a peace agreement. 

Though full-scale hostilities have not resumed between the U.S. and Iran, the latest rounds of mutual strikes have effectively ended the ceasefire agreement. One or two attacks during a ceasefire can be written off as isolated incidents, but the pattern emerging now appears to be more systematic and widespread. The danger of escalation back to large-scale warfare is real, and with each round of attacks, that danger grows…

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U.S. Central Command confirmed Iranian forces had downed a U.S. Army Apache attack helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz, but American officials did not provide any specifics on what mission the helicopter was performing when it came under fire. Both crew members survived the impact and were rescued by a U.S. Navy unmanned vessel, a first for the U.S. military. The Apache attack helicopter can carry anti-tank munitions, and its versatility makes it suitable for a wide range of missions.

Jordanian officials said their armed forces had intercepted and downed several Iranian missiles, though from unconfirmed video footage at least one missile appears to have struck an air base inside Jordan. The U.S. has military personnel at several small bases in Jordan, and it remains unclear which, if any, of those installations were hit by Iranian fire. Kuwaiti officials also said they had intercepted Iranian missiles, with no reports of impacts in Kuwait. There were no reports of damage in Bahrain, which was also targeted by Iranian missiles.

Iran and the U.S. appear frustrated with the lack of diplomatic progress, as both sides remain far apart on the conditions that would be needed to achieve a lasting peace deal. There is also a growing possibility that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is operating independently of Iran’s government, which means the IRGC may not stop launching attacks even if Iranian diplomats achieve a breakthrough in their negotiations with the U.S. A fractured Iranian government will likely make it much harder to cement a lasting peace agreement.

There has been little progress in resolving the underlying disputes between the U.S. and Iran, especially freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz and ending Iran’s attempts to establish a nuclear weapons program, which Iran continues to deny. Until American and Iranian leaders are willing to make at least some concessions in their demands, the fighting will likely continue.

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