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Trump to Release 172 Million Barrels From the Oil Reserve to Drive Gas Prices Down

Trump is tapping the oil reserve and coordinating with allies to flood the market with supply, but with a 120-day delivery window, Americans should expect higher gas prices to stick around for a while.

What Happened

President Trump has authorized the release of 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, with deliveries beginning as early as next week.

Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced the International Energy Agency unanimously agreed to Trump’s request to coordinate a broader release of 400 million barrels of oil and refined products from reserves held by member nations. The oil will take approximately 120 days to reach the market once released.

The administration says it has already arranged to replenish what it draws down, securing approximately 200 million barrels in replacement supply within the next year at no cost to taxpayers. ‘We’ll do that, and then we’ll fill it up. I filled it up once, and I’ll fill it up again,’ Trump said during a visit to Ohio and Kentucky.

The move comes as the Iran war continues to hammer global energy markets. In the first nine days of the conflict, 20% of the global oil supply has been disrupted, more than double the previous record set during the Suez Crisis of 1956.

Crude oil hit triple digits on March 8th for the first time since 2022. The national average for a gallon of gas sat at $3.57 as of Wednesday, with no signs of relief without intervention.

Why It Matters

The Strategic Petroleum Reserve was designed to act as a buffer against potential supply shocks driven by geopolitical conflict, natural disasters, and market disruption. The Iran war qualifies on every count, and tapping it is a textbook application of the tool.

The scale of the current disruption puts the decision in sharp relief. The Suez Crisis, long considered the benchmark for catastrophic oil supply disruption, saw just under 10% of global supply taken offline.

The Iran war has already done more than twice that damage in under two weeks. The reserve release is an attempt to signal to markets that the United States has the capacity and the will to offset that disruption before it permanently reshapes consumer prices.

The reserve itself is not in the most desirable position, as it currently holds about 415 million barrels, its lowest level since January 1985, after Biden drew it down aggressively following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Trump’s authorized release accounts for more than 41% of what remains.

The administration’s plan to replace those barrels within a year at no taxpayer cost will need to be executed carefully, and the 120-day delivery window means Americans will be absorbing higher prices for at least another several months before the released supply reaches them.

How It Affects You

Gas at $3.578 per gallon is already beginning to be felt in household budgets, and that number has continued to climb since the Iran conflict began. The reserve release will not bring immediate relief; with a 120-day delivery timeline, the oil authorized this week will not hit the market until summer at the earliest. Between now and then, prices remain vulnerable to every new development in the Middle East.

The Strait of Hormuz remains the critical pressure point through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply moves, and the conflict has effectively choked it off. Trump’s proposal to deploy Navy escorts for tankers navigating the strait could restore some of that flow faster than the reserve release will, and the two measures working in tandem represent the administration’s best near-term shot at stabilizing prices.

The longer the conflict runs, the more pressure will snowball onto a reserve that is already stretched thin. Every barrel released now is a barrel unavailable for the next supply shock, whether that comes from a hurricane, a pipeline failure, or an escalation elsewhere in the world.

Trump’s promise to refill what he draws down is the right instinct, but executing on it will depend heavily on market conditions and geopolitical stability, neither of which anyone can guarantee right now.