Israeli Prime Minister Orders New Attacks on Hamas in Gaza

What Happened?

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu today announced he has ordered Israel’s military to immediately conduct an unspecified number of strikes against Hamas in Gaza. Israel has accused Hamas of violating the terms of the ceasefire by returning remains that did not belong to any of the Israeli hostages. Hamas also accused Israel of violating the terms of the ceasefire agreement, which has brought a fragile peace to Gaza.

Hamas also said it would delay the return of additional remains it claims belonged to Israeli hostages the group forcibly abducted in October 2023.

Why it Matters

The ceasefire between Hamas and Israel has already been challenged by continued, though limited, hostilities between the two combatants. New Israeli strikes on Hamas and the delayed handover of hostage remains could unravel an already precarious peace deal in Gaza. Israel and Hamas had only agreed to the first phase of a larger peace framework, but if phase one comes apart, it is unlikely any further phases will be implemented, at least in the short term.

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Any resumption of hostilities between Hamas and Israel would be a disaster for Gaza and a major embarrassment for the Trump Administration. Under international law, a ceasefire is a conditional cessation of hostilities that can often lead to a permanent peace treaty. If the conditions of the ceasefire are not met, the belligerents have the right to resume combat operations. In this case, a speedy return of Israeli hostages and their remains to Israel was a condition of the latest ceasefire.

Israel has accused Hamas of returning a coffin that contained remains that did not belong to any of the Israeli hostages. Though it’s possible Hamas or Israel made an error in identifying the remains, it is also possible the move was deliberate on the part of Hamas. Because doing so would give the group a way to keep one or more of the Israeli hostages even after agreeing to return them. The Israeli hostages were a major source of leverage for Hamas, and without them, they have little chance of stopping future attacks by the Israeli military.

Drone footage released by Israel purportedly showed Hamas conducting a fake excavation operation, then filling one of the coffins returned to Israel. Hamas has not yet commented on the footage. The footage itself appeared to show Hamas removing a body from a building, placing it in a grave, then excavating it.

How it Affects You

The ceasefire between Hamas and Israel is in serious jeopardy. Renewed fighting could unravel the entire deal, though it is still possible that a return to full-scale hostilities can be avoided. In recent weeks, both sides have demonstrated a willingness to tolerate limited exchanges of fire without voiding the entire peace deal.

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