German Chancelor Says International Rules-Based Order No Longer Exists

What Happened?

The Munich Security Conference began this week with over one thousand attendees representing one hundred and fifteen countries. At the opening of the conference, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz addressed delegates by saying, ‘the international order based on rules and laws no longer exists.’ Conference chairman Wolfgang Ischinger said, ‘the transatlantic partnership needs a stronger Europe.’

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio addressed the conference over the weekend, where he struck a more conciliatory tone towards Europe. The speech was the first major international address by a senior U.S. official since the dispute between the Trump Administration and Europe over Greenland.

Why it Matters

There is compelling evidence to suggest Chancellor Merz is correct in his assertion that the rules-based international order no longer exists, and the ramifications will likely be felt for generations on a global scale.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 represented the first major land war in Europe since the end of World War Two, and since then, the number of conflicts around the world has increased to a higher total than at any time since 1945. The increasing conflicts illustrate how nations no longer feel bound by post-World War Two era norms, and the world is becoming a more dangerous place because of it.

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The post-Second World War order refers to the establishment of international organizations, such as the United Nations and World Trade Organization, which used treaties and negotiations as the main tools for solving disputes. That approach was never perfect, but for almost eighty years, it prevented major conflicts from erupting.

Prior to that time, countries solely based their actions on their own national interests, and the result was a world constantly engulfed in conflict and warfare. Nationalism caused two world wars in the twentieth century alone, and today the lessons of those times are being forgotten and abandoned.

Instead of treaties, negotiations, and international institutions, today, more countries are returning to the use of raw force to achieve their individual national goals. In addition to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Gaza War between Israel and Hamas, civil wars in Sudan and Myanmar. The United States has also increased its foreign military action, attacking targets in Nigeria, Venezuela, Iran, Syria, and the Caribbean in the past year.

These types of actions, where major powers use military force whenever they please, represent a return to the geopolitics of the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, when international relations were dominated by great power competition and conflicts.

How it Affects You

When countries believe they can accomplish their goals through force instead of negotiations or treaties, the result is invariably an increase in conflict and warfare. That was the norm for most of human history. In such a world, short-term thinking driven by narrow national interests guides the way nations conduct themselves, and only after the destruction of war has laid waste to their landscapes do they begin to wonder why and how it all happened. 

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