Death Toll from Flooding in Texas Reaches 120

What Happened?

Severe flash flooding in Kerr County, Texas has resulted in at least one hundred and twenty deaths, with dozens more still missing. The flooding struck the central Texas county late at night on the 4^th of July, resulting in catastrophic increases in water levels from the nearby Guadalupe River.

According to local officials, the water levels in the Guadalupe River rose nine meters in just three hours, sending torrential flooding and walls of water cascading across many parts of Kerr County. Rescue efforts from multiple agencies are still underway in flooded areas. 

Why it Matters

Texas leads the United States in flood deaths, recording over one thousand from 1959 through 2019. The latest flooding in Kerr County represents one of the deadliest flooding events in Texas history. Terrain is one of the leading factors to explain the severity of the recent floods in Kerr County. Semi-arid soil absorbs little moisture and rugged terrain often quickly channels rainfall into narrow areas unable to handle large volumes of water.

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Despite the long history of flooding in Texas, the internet has recently seen a rise in the number of people claiming cloud seeding contributed to or caused the floods in Kerr County. In response, the Texas Commissioner of Agriculture Sid Miller said, ‘There has been a lot of misinformation flying around lately, so let me clarify: the Texas Department of Agriculture has absolutely no connection to cloud seeding or any form of weather modification.’ There is no scientific evidence cloud seeding played any role in the flooding.

A probable reason why the casualties were so high in the Kerr County floods was timing. The Guadalupe River rose most rapidly between the hours of two and five in the morning, meaning the worst of the flooding hit when it was dark and most people in the area were asleep. Even for people who might have been awake, it is a fact of medical science that human reaction times are slower at night. 

A second factor was how fast a large amount of rainfall fell. According to the National Weather Service over three trillion gallons of water fell in just a few hours, which explains the rapid rise of the Guadalupe River. Added to the speed and volume of the waterfall was terrain. Narrow creeks and valleys quickly overflowed, impacting every structure along the way. 

There have also been accusations against the Department of Government Efficiency for cutting key personnel in the National Weather Service, including the post of chief hydrologist who would cover Kerr County in their area of responsibility. Whether staffing issues contributed to a lack of early warning for residents of Kerr County remains to be seen, but investigations are likely at both the state and federal levels.

How it Affects You

Severe weather incidents have been increasing, including flash flooding disasters like the one that struck Kerr County Texas. While early warnings can save lives, due to rapid intensification storms can turn deadly so quickly even people with advance notice can still be in danger.